Fantasy Football ADP Shifts: Who’s Gaining and Who’s Losing
The 2024 fantasy football Average Draft Position (ADP) is already moving fast, with several players climbing the charts while others tumble. Early drafts are being shaped by a mix of contract extensions, expanded roles, and unexpected competition across the league.
Among the risers, Seattle’s Rashid Shaheed stands out after the team locked him into a three‑year, $51 million deal, effectively demoting running back Kenneth Walker. Shaheed’s special‑teams pedigree — three touchdowns last season — and a 12 percent target share in the postseason have pushed his ADP upward, making him a sleeper with big‑play upside.
Seahawks’ Shaheed Poised for a Breakout
Coaches have highlighted Shaheed’s role in the offense, noting that his 31 percent share of the team’s air yards in the postseason signals a new focal point. The combination of a lucrative contract, a larger target share and a proven knack for scoring on special teams positions him as a prime candidate for a breakout campaign.
The Buffalo Bills are also watching a potential handcuff scenario with Ray Davis. If starter James Cook were to miss time, Davis could see a sudden influx of snaps, driving his ADP higher as fantasy owners scramble for a reliable backup.
Bills’ Handcuff Potential and Bryant’s Uncertain Role
Pat Bryant’s ascent is tempered by the Broncos’ recent acquisition of Jaylen Waddle, which adds depth to a crowded receiving corps and creates uncertainty around Bryant’s snap count.
Meanwhile, Brandon Aiyuk’s ADP is sliding as his contract standoff with the San Francisco 49ers drags on. A recent social‑media exchange in which he criticized Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels appears to have cooled the team’s interest, further limiting his draft appeal.
Aiyuk’s Draft Slide Amid Off‑Field Drama
The 49ers’ receiving group is also dealing with the arrival of Odell Beckham and JuJu Smith‑Schuster, which squeezes Darnell Mooney’s role in New York. With competition from established veterans, Mooney’s ADP is falling as owners question his upside.
Jakobi Meyers faces a similar fate in Jacksonville, where the Jaguars have added Parker Washington, Brian Thomas and Travis Hunter to the mix. The depth at wide receiver pushes Meyers down the draft board, reflecting the crowded landscape of the team’s offense.
Jaguars’ WR Depth Undermines Meyers
Overall, the early ADP movements underscore how contract decisions, roster changes and off‑field narratives are already reshaping fantasy football strategies. Savvy owners will monitor these trends closely as the season approaches.