Baseball

MLB Expert Picks for July 23: Rays vs Blue Jays and Diamondbacks Over Outlook

Josh Inglis backs Tampa Bay, while Jason Wilson eyes an over in Arizona’s matchup, as pitching performances and recent scoring trends shape the predictions.

Expert Picks for July 23

Josh Inglis, a veteran analyst with a track record of sharp MLB forecasts, leans heavily toward the Tampa Bay Rays when they meet the Toronto Blue Jays on July 23. He cites the Rays’ recent stretch of solid hitting and pitching, and points to Shane Bieber’s struggles this season as a key vulnerability for the Blue Jays.

Bieber, who has been one of the hardest‑hit pitchers in baseball, posted an expected ERA of 5.35, nearly two and a half runs higher than his actual 2.92, underscoring the difficulty he faces against a disciplined Tampa Bay lineup.

The Blue Jays have managed only 10 runs across six games since the All‑Star break, a slump that Inglis says makes them an unattractive moneyline option against a Rays team that has been winning consistently.

Jason Wilson, another prominent voice in the betting community, takes a different angle, focusing on the total runs in the Arizona Diamondbacks versus St. Louis Cardinals contest. He predicts the game will go over 8.5 runs, citing the Diamondbacks’ 66 runs scored in their last ten outings and the pitchers’ recent vulnerabilities.

Wilson’s outlook also reflects the broader trend of high‑scoring games in the National League this season, where offenses have begun to outpace even the most touted arms, making the over an appealing play for bettors looking to capitalize on the current momentum.

Both predictions illustrate how recent performance metrics — whether it’s Bieber’s inflated expected ERA or the Diamondbacks’ hot hitting streak — are shaping betting strategies as the MLB season reaches its midsummer climax.

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