The 2026 college football season is emerging as a fertile ground for FCS programs that are eager to prove they can compete with the big boys. While the spotlight often falls on traditional powerhouses, a growing number of smaller schools are entering the conversation with a clear eye on upsets.
Austin Peay’s quarterback Chris Parson could be the X‑factor in the Governors’ opening clash with Vanderbilt. The Commodores will be without Diego Pavia, a loss that removes a seasoned signal‑caller and creates an opening for Parson to showcase the arm talent that helped the team shock an FBS opponent just a year ago.
The Upset Potential
South Dakota State arrives as a preseason top‑five FCS team, and head coach David Braun has a familiar challenge ahead: a matchup with Northwestern that carries a 2‑5 record in his favor. Braun’s experience against the Wildcats adds a strategic layer that could tip the scales in the Jackrabbits’ favor.
Rhode Island and Tarleton State have also staked their claims, each carrying the memory of recent upsets — Rhode Island’s 2021 victory over an FBS opponent and Tarleton’s surprise win over Army last year. Both programs enter 2026 with high preseason rankings and a belief that they can repeat the magic.
Montana State and Illinois State are projected to dominate their respective conferences, while Wofford’s late‑season surge last year suggests they could be a dark horse in the mix. The depth of talent across these squads makes them dangerous opponents for any FBS team on the schedule.
Montana’s roster boasts preseason All‑Americans such as running back Eli Gilman, linebacker Peyton Wing, quarterback Keali’I Ah Yat and receiver Brooks Davis. Their presence adds a balanced threat that could catch an unsuspecting FBS defense off guard.
North Dakota’s returning quarterback Jerry Kaminski, together with a solid offensive line anchored by Matt Lawson and Danny Freund, gives the Fighting Hawks a stable foundation as they look to build on a 6‑1 finish to the 2025 campaign.
Even traditional powerhouses like Oregon State, Nebraska and UMass may find themselves tested by opponents who have closed the gap in talent and experience. The early weeks of the season will likely set the tone for a year in which the line between FCS and FBS blurs.