A model from SportsLine that proved its mettle by correctly forecasting De'Von Achane’s 2025 output has now turned its attention to the upcoming 2026 NFL season, running 10,000 simulations to surface the most promising fantasy sleepers.
Sam LaPorta’s bounce‑back outlook
After a dip from TE1 to TE26 in the previous campaign, the model predicts a rebound for Detroit Lions tight end Sam LaPorta thanks to better health and a larger share of red‑zone looks. LaPorta’s average of 0.7 touchdowns in games without running back David Montgomery underscores the upside he could deliver when the offense opens up.
The model also highlights Philadelphia Eagles wideout DeVonta Smith, who managed a 1,000‑yard season in 2025 despite being part of a bottom‑10 passing attack. With an expanded role and more targets on the horizon, Smith is projected to crack the top‑15 at his position in 2026.
DeVonta Smith’s expanding role in Philadelphia
The Eagles’ passing game is set for a lift, and Smith’s increased target share should translate into a higher fantasy ceiling. The simulation expects him to finish the season among the top‑15 wideouts, making him a solid mid‑round pick.
Perhaps the most eye‑catching recommendation is a veteran wide receiver who, according to the simulation, could break into the top‑10 fantasy performers. While the model does not name the player outright, the projection suggests a surge in target share and red‑zone usage that could translate into a breakout year.
Draft implications
These insights come from a partnership between SportsLine and CBS Sports, leveraging data from the National Football League to generate statistically robust forecasts. The same algorithm that nailed Achane’s RB6 finish last season now backs these sleepers, giving fantasy owners a data‑driven edge as draft season approaches.