As the 2026 fantasy football season approaches, analysts are already flagging several running backs whose draft profiles may not match their on‑field potential. Among the most discussed are TreVeyon Henderson of the New England Patriots and Chuba Hubbard of the Carolina Panthers, both of whom present a mix of upside and uncertainty that could make them risky selections.
Henderson’s upside is limited by depth
Henderson burst onto the scene with several explosive runs during his rookie campaign, especially when starter Rhamondre Stevenson missed time. Those moments showcased his breakaway speed and elusiveness, but the broader sample tells a different story. When Stevenson is healthy, Henderson’s touches drop and his efficiency metrics slip, reflecting a committee situation where the Patriots trust Stevenson more in critical short‑yardage and pass‑blocking scenarios.
Hubbard’s inconsistency clouds his value
Hubbard enjoyed a breakout 2024 season that propelled him into the conversation for a top‑tier back, but the following year exposed cracks in his production. He managed just 3.8 yards per carry and failed to generate any runs longer than 10 yards, while his involvement in the passing game remained minimal, ranking near the bottom among qualifying backs in yards per target.
A crowded backfield and a weak offense
Compounding Hubbard’s fantasy woes is the Panthers’ projected 29th‑ranked offense for 2026, a context that limits scoring opportunities for any running back. Moreover, the team drafted Jonathon Brooks, who entered training camp with buzz about his health and role, creating a three‑way competition that could further erode Hubbard’s snap count.
For drafters seeking reliable upside, the data suggest steering clear of Henderson and Hubbard in the early rounds. Instead, targeting backs on teams with clearer lead‑back roles or more potent offenses can provide a safer floor and higher ceiling as the season unfolds.