Boise State has entered the 2026 season as the bookmakers’ pick to capture the Pac‑12 title, opening at +170 odds, but the path to that crown hinges on the health of its star quarterback.
Favored, but Not Guaranteed
Maddux Madsen, who completed 62% of his passes in 2024 for 3,018 yards and 28 touchdowns, is the clear starter, yet his availability remains the single biggest variable for the Broncos.
The Backup Battle
Max Cutforth, who posted a turnover‑worthy play rate of 5.6% in 2023, struggled against top defenses but showed flashes against weaker opponents, and now faces a fresh wave of competition from California recruits Cash Herrera and Jackson Taylor, both three‑star prospects who impressed during spring drills.
Herrera’s performance in those sessions earned praise from Madsen himself, and early reports suggest he has edged ahead of Taylor for the No. 2 spot, though the coaching staff continues to evaluate both.
Playoff Outlook
Boise State’s aspirations for a College Football Playoff berth are tied not only to Madsen staying on the field but also to navigating a schedule that includes road tests at Washington State, Oregon State and Colorado State, making depth at the quarterback position a strategic priority.
If the Broncos can keep their starter healthy and settle on a reliable backup, the +170 odds could translate into a genuine shot at the conference championship and, potentially, a national playoff appearance.