The New Contenders
As the 2026 college football season approaches, the conversation around the expanded College Football Playoff has shifted from the usual powerhouses to a group of programs that could rewrite the script.
At TCU, head coach Sonny Dykes is entering his third year with a revamped roster that includes quarterback Jaden Craig, a graduate transfer from Harvard who earned national attention for his poise under pressure. Coupled with a deep receiving corps and a defense that finished top five in the Big 12 last season, the Horned Frogs are positioned to capture the conference championship and claim the league’s automatic playoff berth.
A short drive west, UNLV’s Rebels are banking on a high‑octane offense anchored by quarterback Jackson Arnold and running back Jai’Den Thomas. Their schedule, which slots a Power 4 opponent early and culminates with a home matchup against North Dakota State, offers a clear path to a Group of 6 playoff spot if they can stay healthy.
South Carolina’s Gamecocks are perhaps the most talked‑about dark horse in the SEC. An upgraded offensive line and the addition of Purdue transfer Nitro Tuggle have bolstered a unit that struggled last year, while wideout LaNorris Sellers returns as a proven playmaker. If the conference’s offseason realignment prompts an extra at‑large bid, the Gamecocks could be the beneficiaries.
Minnesota’s Golden Gophers bring a blend of experience and talent that could surprise many. Quarterback Drake Lindsey is slated to take the next step after a breakout sophomore season, and defensive end Anthony Smith anchors a front seven that finished second in the Big Ten in sacks. Even with a gauntlet of games against the conference’s trophy contenders, the Gophers’ depth could keep them in the conversation.
Louisville’s ascent under Jeff Brohm has been steady, and the Cardinals’ 2026 slate looks especially favorable. Wins against Ole Miss, SMU and a road test at Florida State could elevate their résumé, especially if quarterback Lincoln Kienholz delivers on the promise he showed in limited action last year.
Florida’s Gators, under new head coach Jon Sumrall, enter a quarterback battle that could define their season. Aaron Philo and Tramell Jones are expected to split reps, but both bring elite speed and route‑running that could stretch defenses. A tough SEC schedule that includes potential victories over Ole Miss, Georgia and Oklahoma makes a playoff run plausible if the team clicks early.
California’s Bears are navigating a transition to the ACC, and head coach Tosh Lupoi’s adaptability will be tested. Quarterback Jaron‑Keawe Sagapolutele, a rising draft prospect, could become the focal point of an offense that avoids a matchup with Miami but aims for an ACC title run that might earn a playoff nod.
Finally, Oklahoma State’s Cowboys are benefiting from a wave of transfers, including quarterback Drew Mestemaker and running back Caleb Hawkins. Their non‑conference home games against Oregon and Texas Tech provide a platform to showcase their talent, and a strong finish could push them into bowl eligibility and perhaps beyond.