The 2026 Class 11AAA season is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in recent memory, with nine programs vying for the state crown. Seven of those teams call Sioux Falls home, while the remaining two are based in Rapid City, setting the stage for a city‑versus‑city showdown.
Sioux Falls leads the pack
Among the Sioux Falls contingent, Sioux Falls Lincoln enters as the preseason favorite. The team brings back quarterback Brody Schafer, whose experience under center helped the Lynx dominate last year, and a roster that returns most of its key contributors.
Defending champs face change
Sioux Falls Jefferson, the 2022 champions, are expected to mount a serious challenge. Their recent title gives them momentum, but the squad must replace several graduating seniors, making depth a critical factor.
Brandon Valley’s regression
Brandon Valley, the defending state champions, are projected to take a slight step back after losing several standout players to graduation. Nevertheless, the Wolves retain a strong program culture and expect to remain in the upper tier of the classification.
Harrisburg’s ascent
Harrisburg looks poised to break into the top three. A powerful offensive line and a stout defense give the Tigers a balanced attack that could translate into more wins.
Cross‑city showdowns
Sioux Falls Washington will travel to face Millard North in the annual Sioux Falls‑Omaha series, a matchup that could test their mettle early in the schedule.
Early hurdles and youthful promise
O’Gorman’s calendar features early games against some of the state’s top programs, including long road trips that could test their resilience. Meanwhile, Sioux Falls Roosevelt brings a wave of young talent and will showcase its progress with a homecoming game on its own turf.
Rapid City’s rebuilding efforts
Rapid City Central, coming off a 2‑8 record, is focused on leveraging home‑field advantage to turn the tide, while Rapid City Stevens, the only winless team in 2025, must adapt to a roster in flux and find ways to compete.
Across the board, roster depth, defensive strength and the ability to navigate early‑season challenges will likely determine which teams rise to the top. The predictions of sports reporter Paul Cifonelli underscore the importance of experience at quarterback, the impact of graduation, and the unpredictable nature of high‑school football.