Football

Fantasy Football 2026: Sleepers and Surprise Picks Identified by SportsLine

Simulation model highlights breakout candidates ahead of the new NFL season

Simulation fuels 2026 fantasy projections

SportsLine has taken an unconventional approach to forecasting the 2026 fantasy landscape, running 10,000 simulated NFL seasons to produce a data‑driven set of rankings that highlight potential sleepers and breakout performers.

Among the standout sleepers, running back De’Von Achane is projected to exceed his ADP of RB12, having posted 1,838 scrimmage yards and 12 touchdowns last year, which placed him at RB6 in fantasy points.

Tight end Isaiah Likely, now with the New York Giants after a move from Baltimore, is slated as the TE9 in the rankings and is expected to become the clear No. 1 option in the Giants’ offense thanks to increased targeting from quarterback Jaxson Dart.

Running back Tony Pollard is listed as RB27 in draft boards, yet the model predicts a late‑season surge that could mirror the rise of backs such as TreVeyon Henderson and Rico Dowdle, suggesting he may outperform his draft position.

A proven track record

The credibility of the simulation is bolstered by a track record that includes correctly identifying breakout stars like A.J. Brown, Jonathan Taylor and Daniel Jones in previous years, giving analysts confidence in the upcoming projections.

Beyond individual players, a veteran wide receiver is forecast to crack the top‑10 fantasy performers, potentially outshining established names such as CeeDee Lamb and A.J. Brown.

With the 2026 NFL regular season set to begin in just two weeks, draft preparation is in full swing, and SportsLine’s cheat sheets and rankings are readily accessible on its platform, which continues to demonstrate a high hit rate on fantasy predictions.

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