2026 College Football Forecast
The 2026 college football season is shaping up to be a clash of established powerhouses and surprising challengers, according to the latest USA TODAY Sports projections.
Power Four Contenders
In the Power Four, the Big Ten is expected to crown Ohio State as its champion, while the SEC’s dominant narrative centers on Texas, which analysts say is poised to capture the conference title despite a crowded field. The ACC’s Miami is forecasted to dominate its league and secure its first conference championship, adding a fresh storyline to the Atlantic Coast race. Texas Tech, despite losing quarterback Brendan Sorsby, remains a dark‑horse contender in the Big 12, with analysts noting a strong supporting cast that could push the Red Raiders into championship contention.
Group of Six Dark Horses
Meanwhile, the Group of Six is far from a footnote. Navy is considered the safest eight‑win pick, Western Kentucky continues its streak of six‑plus win seasons, and Miami (Ohio) boasts what many describe as the best roster in the Mid‑American Conference, giving it a legitimate shot at a playoff berth. James Madison, fresh from a Sun Belt title, faces challenges to return to playoff contention, while UNLV looks to dominate the reworked Mountain West, and Boise State remains one of the elite teams in the Group of Six despite shifting leagues.
Quarterback Questions
Quarterback situations add intrigue, especially at Alabama where the emergence of Keelon Russell could be a wildcard that either stabilizes or destabilizes the Crimson Tide’s SEC title hopes. Elsewhere, Virginia Tech will make an immediate jump under new head coach James Franklin, and Houston’s coach Willie Fritz aims to steer the Cougars to a Big 12 championship game appearance.
Coaching Carousel
The coaching carousel is also a focal point. Notre Dame, armed with a loaded roster, is chasing its first national title since 1988, while Texas Tech’s offensive overhaul under new leadership seeks to complement its defensive strengths. These storylines, combined with the unpredictable nature of college football, promise a season filled with twists and breakthroughs.
Overall, the projections suggest a season where traditional power conferences still dominate the conversation, but the depth of competition in the Group of Six and the impact of new coaches could reshape the playoff picture in unexpected ways.