June 25 MLB Outlook
The upcoming schedule features a pair of National League contests that could reshape early‑season narratives, with the Chicago Cubs hosting the New York Mets and the St. Louis Cardinals welcoming the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Josh Inglis, a veteran analyst, expects the Cubs‑Mets game to exceed the 8.5‑run over/under, citing a combination of favorable weather conditions and a bullpen that has been taxed by recent fatigue.
The Cubs enter the game shorthanded, missing their primary closer and potentially two additional relievers, a situation that could force the starter to work longer into the game.
New York’s high‑leverage relievers are also in short supply, with the team projected to be without four of its most effective late‑inning options, further amplifying the run‑scoring outlook.
Adding to the intrigue, Matthew Boyd is slated to make his first start since returning from the injured list, having posted a 6.00 ERA before his injury and looking to regain command on the mound.
Meanwhile, Freddy Peralta has struggled lately, surrendering 10 runs in his most recent outing and 29 runs over his last 36 innings, a stretch that raises questions about his consistency.
Joe Osborne, another leading commentator, backs the Cardinals to defeat the Diamondbacks, pointing to a strong home record at Busch Stadium and the recent struggles of Arizona’s pitching staff.
Michael McGreevy, who has posted a 2.35 ERA across seven home starts at Busch Stadium, could provide the Cardinals with a reliable arm, while the Diamondbacks have been among the league’s worst both on the road and against right‑handed hitters.
Zac Gallen, a key starter for Arizona, carries a 6.98 ERA in eight road starts and a 3‑8 record in his last 11 outings, underscoring the challenges he faces against a Cardinals lineup that ranks fourth in OPS against right‑handed pitchers over the past two weeks.
Key Takeaways
The convergence of depleted bullpens, weather‑driven run expectations and recent performance trends suggests that both games could tilt heavily toward offensive output, making the June 25 slate a focal point for bettors and fans alike.