The 2026 Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway is shaping up to be a marquee event, with New Zealand’s Shane van Gisbergen already setting his sights on the checkered flag.
Four years ago, van Gisbergen dominated the same circuit, leading 97 laps and edging out Chase Briscoe by 1.128 seconds, a performance that cemented his reputation on the road‑course.
That showing contributed to his seven NASCAR Cup Series victories and a string of fifteen top‑10 finishes, positioning him as the -150 favorite at FanDuel Sportsbook for the upcoming race.
He will face stiff competition from a field that includes Connor Zilisch at +700, Tyler Reddick and Kyle Larson both at +800, Ryan Blaney and Kyle Larson at +1200, and Ty Gibbs at +1600, all of whom are expected to contend.
The Betting Landscape
Trackhouse Racing enters as the -200 favorite to field the winning team, followed by Hendrick Motorsports at +600 and Joe Gibbs Racing at +850, underscoring the depth of manufacturer support.
The race’s intrigue is amplified by the analytical work of Phil Bobbitt and Steve Greco, whose proprietary predictive engine has consistently outperformed the betting markets for the past four years.
In 2024 they correctly called seven outright winners, including Daniel Suarez’s +3500 surprise in Atlanta, and nailed long‑shot finishes for Joey Logano at +1100 in the All‑Star Race and Austin Cindric at +2800 in the Enjoy Illinois 300.
Building on that record, they entered 2025 with a string of accurate calls, predicting William Byron at +2300 in the Daytona 500 and Kyle Larson at +450 in the AdventHealth 400, and they have now turned their attention to the 2026 Sonoma event.
For the 2026 Toyota/Save Mart 350, Bobbitt and Greco have placed a head‑to‑head wager favoring Chase Briscoe at -115 over AJ Allmendinger, and they have also locked in a series of matchup plays and a high‑risk +4000 longshot that could pay off big.
With the odds shifting and the competition heating up, fans can expect a strategic battle that blends driver skill, team dynamics, and sharp betting insight.