The 2026 fantasy football landscape is already buzzing with projections, and among the most debated topics are the running backs whose draft values appear inflated relative to their recent output.
The metrics behind the hype
TreVeyon Henderson posted a 9.8 PPR points per game average when Rhamondre Stevenson was out of the lineup, which placed him at RB33 for the season. However, the data also shows that Stevenson eclipsed Henderson in explosive run rate and missed tackle rate, suggesting that Henderson’s efficiency may be a byproduct of limited workload rather than a sustainable skill set.
Chuba Hubbard’s 2025 season painted a stark picture: he ranked last among qualifying backs in both missed tackle rate and explosive run rate, and his performance was further undermined by a mid‑season loss of his starting role to Rico Dowdle. These factors have been highlighted as considerations for draft strategy.
Bucky Irving has dealt with multiple injuries, affecting his efficiency and performance, and will compete with Kenneth Gainwell and Sean Tucker for touches in the upcoming season.
RJ Harvey’s role in 2026 is uncertain due to the return of J.K. Dobbins and the drafting of Jonah Coleman.
Competition for Touches
The backfield also includes Jonathon Brooks, whose limited exposure may increase with additional opportunities, while veterans such as Rachaad White remain on the roster, adding depth to the competition.
Workload durability and situational usage emerge as key considerations in evaluating these backs, according to the analysis.