The 2026 fantasy football season is already generating buzz as analysts fine‑tune projections for the upcoming campaign, and the quarterback position remains the centerpiece of every draft conversation.
Josh Allen’s projected supremacy
According to the latest models, Josh Allen is expected to deliver 25.2 fantasy points per game, a figure that outpaces every other signal‑caller and places him in a tier of his own.
While his passing numbers dipped during the brief stint under Joe Brady’s play‑calling, the Buffalo Bills’ coaching staff has indicated a willingness to lean on Allen’s dual‑threat skill set, a move that could restore his elite production.
The rest of the top tier
Behind Allen, a cluster of quarterbacks projects between 22.6 and 23.7 points per game, including Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Dak Prescott and a handful of other established starters. Their performances will hinge on factors ranging from offensive line health to the emergence of new playmakers.
Among the second‑tier group, sleepers such as Trevor Lawrence and Daniel Jones are being watched closely, while injury‑prone arms like Matthew Stafford and Patrick Mahomes carry both upside and risk.
Tier three introduces outliers in the form of Brock Purdy, whose upside could explode if his supporting cast stays healthy, and Jared Goff, a safer bet in superflex formats due to his consistent floor.
Later rounds reveal a different profile: quarterbacks with strong rushing components — such as Kyler Murray, Malik Willis and Baker Mayfield — offer high ceiling but raise questions about passing efficiency.
Meanwhile, players projected to start every game, including Jalen Hurts and Aaron Rodgers, are evaluated not for peak upside but for reliability, with some expecting a regression in touchdown totals.
Draft strategists advise that targeting tier‑specific value depends on league format, roster construction and risk tolerance, but the consensus is clear: the depth at quarterback this year makes it possible to balance upside with safety without reaching too early.