When Dave Aranda took the helm of the Baylor Bears before the 2020 season, he inherited a program eager to rebound from years of mediocrity. The early promise of a 2-7 record in a shortened year gave way to a breakout 12-2 campaign in 2021, capped by a Big 12 title and a Sugar Bowl victory over Ole Miss. Yet the subsequent seasons have been a study in volatility, with records of 6-7, 3-9 and a 5-7 finish in 2025 that have left the university’s patience thin.
A Schedule That Tests Resolve
The upcoming slate features road tests against the Auburn Tigers, Colorado Buffaloes and Arizona State, while home games against Iowa State, BYU and Texas Tech promise additional pressure. Analyst Josh Pate has warned that a sluggish start could trigger a swift dismissal, especially given the $12 million buyout clause that looms over the program.
What's at Stake
Beyond the win-loss column, the season will influence recruiting pipelines, donor confidence and the broader narrative of the Big 12’s competitive balance. A early surge could earn Aranda a renewed contract and stabilize the program, whereas a poor start may usher in a new era of leadership.