Baseball

Cardinals’ Rising Star Baez Stalls at Triple‑A Amid Contact Concerns

Despite power surge and impressive stats, the Cardinals weigh the risks of promoting the second‑round pick

The St. Louis Cardinals have been one of the more surprising stories in the National League this season, riding a wave of strong pitching and timely hitting that has kept them in the playoff conversation.

A Prospect at a Crossroads

Among the organization’s most talked‑about pieces is Joshua Baez, a second‑round pick from 2021 who has turned heads in Triple‑A with a blend of raw power and elite speed.

In June he launched seven home runs, pushing his OPS to a staggering 1.322 and sparking optimism that the 23‑year‑old could provide the missing spark in the outfield.

What makes Baez’s surge even more compelling is the work he has done on his mechanics. After a season plagued by a 236‑strikeout total across 2023 and 2024, he adopted a more compact stance and a swing tuned to reduce whiffs, resulting in a contact rate that now hovers just above the league average.

Still, the numbers tell a cautionary tale. His strikeout percentage remains in the third percentile, and the team’s front office has repeatedly emphasized that his boom‑or‑bust profile does not fit neatly into a lineup that is already contending for a postseason spot.

The Cardinals’ coaching staff has voiced internal debates about the timing of a call‑up, weighing the excitement of a potential spark against the risk of exposing a player still adjusting to high‑level pitching.

Other internal options, including veteran outfielder Victor Scott II, are being monitored, but the organization has indicated that Baez’s development trajectory will ultimately dictate the move.

For now, the prospect remains a fixture in the Triple‑A lineup, where his performances continue to be a barometer for the club’s willingness to accelerate a rebuild that many fans have been eager to see.

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