Michael Busch, a 5‑foot‑11 first baseman, entered the 2026 season with a neutral outlook in the Cubs’ receiving metrics, posting zero Outs Above Average (OAA) on catches this year.
His performance is tightly linked to the quality of throws he receives; when the ball arrives on target, his hands are reliable, but the data shows a steep drop when the throws are low or wide.
The Cubs’ infield has been one of the most accurate in the league, with 85 percent of its throws rated as on target, a factor that has helped mask Busch’s limitations.
The Height Factor and Receiving Limitations
Busch’s stature restricts his range, making it harder to turn low or wide throws into clean outs; the combination of reduced on‑target volume and a less reliable shortstop partner amplifies this challenge.
The injury to shortstop Dansby Swanson removes a key source of precise feeds, and the team’s shift to Nico Hoerner at shortstop introduces a new variable: Hoerner’s arm strength is below average and his accuracy falters, especially when he is forced to rush a throw.
Pedro Ramírez’s recent move to second base further compresses the infield’s receiving window, meaning Busch will see fewer on‑target opportunities and more off‑target balls that test his reach.
As a result of these adjustments, the Cubs are projected to convert fewer difficult plays, leading to additional outs slipping through and more runners beating out singles, which could affect their overall defensive efficiency.
If the Cubs cannot restore a high proportion of precise feeds, the ripple effect will be felt not only in Busch’s statistics but also in the team’s ability to control the opposing offense.