The 2026 College Football Playoff is shaping up to be a watershed year for several programs that have never before cracked the elite eight-team field. With rankings in flux and schedules loaded with pivotal conference battles, five teams — USC, BYU, Utah, Iowa and Missouri — are poised to chase historic playoff berths.
USC’s Upset Potential
The USC Trojans sit at No. 14 in the latest polls and could secure a fourth Big Ten spot by pulling off upsets against traditional powerhouses such as Ohio State, Indiana and Oregon. A 10‑2 record, buoyed by quarterback Jayden Maiava’s emergence, would likely be enough to force the selection committee’s hand.
BYU’s Second Big 12 Bid
After a 12‑1 season that ended with a 34‑7 loss in the Big 12 title game, the BYU Cougars, ranked No. 15, are aiming for a second conference champion slot in 2026. An October 17 showdown with Notre Dame could prove decisive for their playoff hopes.
Utah’s Quarterback Equation
The Utah Utes, tabbed at No. 21 in the preseason, hinge on the return of quarterback Devon Dampier. His ability to sustain the team’s offensive firepower could be the catalyst that pushes Utah past BYU and into the playoff conversation.
Iowa’s Offensive Turnaround
Under head coach Tim Lester, the Iowa Hawkeyes have seen scoring climb from 15.4 to 29.3 points per game. The team’s success now rests on an efficient quarterback who can maximize the revamped attack and navigate a schedule that demands consistency.
Missouri’s Home‑Field Edge
The Missouri Tigers opened the season 5‑0 before finishing 8‑5, yet their home record remains a bright spot. Victories over Texas, Oklahoma and Georgia in front of their own fans could be the three or four wins needed to mount a credible CFP push in the rugged SEC.
Key Matchups to Watch
The upcoming slate features several must‑see games: USC’s potential clash with Ohio State, Utah’s November duel with BYU, and Missouri’s home battles against Texas, Oklahoma and Georgia. Each of these contests could reshape the playoff picture and determine which of these first‑time contenders finally breaks through.