As fantasy football drafts near their climax, the conversation often centers on the usual suspects at the top of the ADP charts. Yet some of the most compelling value picks lie beyond the first hundred selections, players whose skill sets and situational advantages could translate into outsized production.
Take Kyler Murray, the dynamic quarterback of the Arizona Cardinals. Under the tutelage of head coach Kevin O'Connell, who previously guided Kirk Cousins and Sam Darnold to career‑year performances, Murray brings a rare blend of athleticism and arm strength. The Cardinals have bolstered his arsenal with playmakers like Justin Jefferson and tight end TJ Hockenson, creating a fertile environment for Murray to exceed his projected numbers.
Another underrated asset is running back Tyler Allgeier. Over four NFL seasons he has averaged 42.9 yards per game, a testament to his consistency and efficiency. After signing a two‑year, $12 million deal, Allgeier is poised to carve out a goal‑line role that could yield a steady stream of touchdowns, especially in a Cardinals offense that frequently finds itself in the red zone.
Wide receiver Stefon Diggs also enters the conversation as a high‑upside sleeper. Analysts expect him to land with a contending club where he will likely be slotted as the team’s WR2, a position that offers both target volume and red‑zone opportunities. His proven route‑running and ability to create separation make him a prime candidate to outperform his draft position.
Finally, tight end Isaiah Likely is projected to see an expanded role with the New York Giants. Forecasts suggest his target share could climb above 18 percent, positioning him as the primary red‑zone threat for the Giants' quarterback. If he capitalizes on the increased usage, Likely could become a surprisingly productive fantasy option.
The Upside Behind the Numbers
What ties these players together is a confluence of favorable coaching, supportive teammates and contract situations that suggest a larger role than their current ADP would imply. While no outcome is guaranteed, the statistical indicators and situational factors point toward a compelling upside that savvy fantasy managers can exploit.