The NBA Finals have shifted to a pivotal Game 4 in New York, where the Knicks host the Spurs after taking a 2-1 series lead. The Knicks are favored by 2.5 points, but the Spurs have shown they can compete, having won Game 3 in the city and now looking to even the series.
Home‑court advantage and statistical edge
New York boasts a 36‑12 record at home this season and had rattled off 13 straight victories before dropping Game 3. Their net rating of 16.8 tops the league in the postseason, while the Spurs sit second at 9.1, underscoring the Knicks' overall dominance.
Despite the Knicks' strong home performance, the Spurs have turned the series into a tight contest. Their recent win in Game 3 was fueled by a disciplined defensive effort that forced the Knicks into costly turnovers, a factor that could repeat in the upcoming matchup.
Key fantasy contributors
For daily fantasy players, Dylan Harper emerges as a cornerstone for the Spurs, having delivered strong playoff numbers that make him a high‑upside option. Jalen Brunson, while struggling with his shot, continues to generate solid fantasy points, whereas De'Aaron Fox has surged, posting 34.25 and 32.75 fantasy points in his last two games.
Jose Alvarado offers a compelling value pick for the Knicks, consistently delivering points at a lower price tier, while Stephon Castle, despite a big Game 3 performance, is viewed as overpriced and may be faded by savvy lineup builders.
The projected final score leans toward a 109‑107 Spurs victory, which would tie the series and shift momentum heading back to San Antonio. Such a outcome would highlight the Spurs' ability to capitalize on turnovers and execute clutch plays in the closing minutes.