The final rounds of fantasy drafts often become a scramble for upside, and this year's edition is no different. While star power dominates early selections, a handful of players whose ADP places them outside the top 150 can deliver disproportionate returns if their circumstances align. The key is identifying those with clear pathways to targets, favorable offensive schemes, or injury‑related opportunities that could reshape their value.
Quarterback Deep Sleepers
Tyler Shough enters the conversation with a projection of 4,296 passing yards, 296 rushing yards and 28 total touchdowns, positioning him as QB14 in six‑point per pass touchdown formats despite being drafted as QB21 in the 13th round. His dual‑threat skill set could see a bump if the offensive line stays healthy, making him a compelling late‑round gamble. Equally intriguing is Malik Willis, whose blend of arm strength and mobility translates to 3,618 passing yards, 642 rushing yards and 26 touchdowns in the model. A potential health revival for Chris Bell could open up more downfield chances, boosting Willis's passing numbers and giving him a hidden ceiling.
Receiver and Tight End Targets
Jalen Coker is slated for 65 receptions, 841 yards and five scores, ranking him as WR31, and his increased target share in Carolina makes him a solid late‑round wideout. Tre Tucker, already entrenched as the Raiders' primary slot option, is projected for 96 targets, a volume that could translate into a high‑efficiency WR1 despite being drafted at pick 186. Dalton Schultz, with 76 catches, 719 yards and four touchdowns, sits at TE13 and offers a reliable floor if early‑round tight ends falter. Even established veterans like Keenan Allen remain value picks in deeper leagues, having averaged over 120 targets in the past two seasons, while rookie Chris Bell could emerge as the second‑best first‑year receiver if he returns fully healthy.
Running Back Upside
Marshawn Lloyd could crack the top 20 at running back should Josh Jacobs be unavailable, with a forecast of 250 touches, 1,300 total yards and seven to ten touchdowns. Jonah Coleman stands to benefit from any missed time by J.K. Dobbins, projecting a workload similar to Bucky Irving and delivering a late‑round RB value. Meanwhile, Keaton Mitchell may become a must‑start option if De’Von Achane and Omarion Hampton are off the board, as his 6.8 yards per carry and 7.7 yards per target suggest a high‑upside profile.