Monday's Pitching Highlights
Casey Mize turned in a commanding seven‑inning shutout against the Yankees, surrendering just one hit while striking out ten batters and posting a 38% chase rate. His improved slider, now delivering a 43% chase rate and a 71% strike rate, proved decisive, and the pitch’s 20‑inch vertical drop at 93–94 mph added a new dimension to his arsenal. Mize is slated to face Texas, Philadelphia and the Los Angeles Angels in his next three turns, having thrown 88 pitches in his last outing.
Nick Lodolo matched Mize’s efficiency with five innings of scoreless work, allowing a single hit and walking four while fanning four. The right‑hander’s curveball struggled, but his changeup and sinker were sharp, keeping his chase rate at 24%.
Zebby Matthews delivered a solid seven‑inning effort, giving up one run on four hits and a walk while striking out seven. His low BABIP and high left‑on‑base percentage helped him stay ahead, even though whiff numbers were modest.
Eduardo Rodriguez tossed seven innings of one‑run baseball, yielding five hits and no walks with a lone strikeout. His next assignment pits him against Milwaukee, where a low weak‑contact rate will be a key metric to watch.
Trey Yesavage worked into the seventh, allowing a single run on three hits and three strikeouts. He relied heavily on his splitter and slider, generating a 47% strike rate, while his fastball remained effective.
Ryan Johnson’s five‑inning outing featured four hits, one run and three strikeouts, but his 26% chase rate could not mask concerns about his floor heading into a start against Boston.
George Kirby extended his recent run of success with eight innings of two‑run baseball, scattering seven hits and a walk while striking out seven. He has refined his sweeper and sinker, inducing chases that should carry him into matchups with Miami and San Francisco.
Shane Baz delivered a quality start with six innings, two runs, four hits and four walks, striking out six. While his command improved, he still struggled against right‑handed hitters, issuing three free passes.
Shota Imanaga’s six‑and‑one‑third innings yielded two runs on nine hits, with no walks and four strikeouts. His splitter was effective against right‑handers, though it was occasionally hit hard.
Sean Manaea’s fifth start saw him limited to five‑and‑two‑thirds innings, giving up two runs on three hits and two walks while fanning four. Notably, his fastball velocity has slipped into the low 90s, a trend that could affect future planning.
Sean Burke turned in a strong performance with eight strikeouts over five‑and‑one‑third innings, allowing four hits and three walks. His four‑seamer remains effective as he prepares for a showdown with Cleveland.
Griffin Canning’s outing lasted just four‑and‑one‑third innings, where he surrendered two runs on five hits and two walks, striking out three. His diminished movement made him a risky start moving forward.
Chris Paddack’s four‑inning effort was hampered by rain and a sluggish offense, resulting in two runs on seven hits and a single strikeout. He is generally not recommended for upcoming lineups.
Ryan Weathers’ brief appearance lasted only one‑and‑two‑thirds innings, during which he gave up two runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out three. Defensive miscues and a bit of bad luck contributed to the early exit.
Ranger Suarez posted a quality start with six innings, three runs, five hits and a walk, fanning eight. The left‑hander’s performance came against a top offense, underscoring his value in tough matchups.
Eric Lauer’s six‑inning outing produced three runs on nine hits and a walk, with just two strikeouts. He remains a 15‑team option for the Padres in the next turn.
Robert Gasser’s five‑and‑two‑thirds innings yielded three runs on seven hits and a walk, striking out five. A lingering question mark is his feel for the changeup, which could affect his next start against Arizona.
Parker Messick worked into the seventh, allowing four runs on eight hits with no walks and five strikeouts. While his velocity is trending downward, he still offers fantasy upside.
Peter Lambert’s five‑and‑two‑thirds outing was rough, giving up four runs on five hits and three walks while striking out four. He is generally not recommended for future starts.
Tyler Mahle’s four‑and‑one‑third innings saw four runs on four hits and three walks, striking out three. He will need to tighten his middling arsenal before his next appearance.
Braxton Ashcraft’s six‑inning effort resulted in five runs on five hits and a walk, fanning eight. Despite surrendering three home runs, he remains a valuable asset in most formats.
Sandy Alcantara’s five‑and‑two‑thirds innings produced five runs on seven hits, five walks and three strikeouts, with a 20% chase rate. His next assignment is against the Sacramento River Cats, a start that many will monitor.
Gage Jump’s four‑and‑two‑thirds innings were disastrous, yielding five runs on eleven hits and five strikeouts. He will look to rebound against Miami in his upcoming turn.
Sean Sullivan’s four‑and‑two‑thirds outing produced five runs on six hits and two walks, striking out five. The Coors Field environment clearly impacted his performance.
Miles Mikolas turned in seven innings of six‑run baseball, allowing nine hits and three strikeouts with a 15% chase rate. He gave up two homers early but settled down for the remainder of the game.
Aaron Nola’s fourth‑inning effort was cut short after surrendering seven runs on eight hits and two walks, striking out five. He will aim to rebound against Kansas City in his next start.
Fantasy Outlook
Casey Mize’s dominant performance elevates him into the top tier of streaming options, especially given his upcoming favorable matchups.
Nick Lodolo’s mixed results suggest a high‑risk, high‑reward profile; his next start could be a breakout if his changeup clicks.
Zebby Matthews offers a solid floor with his low BABIP and high LOB rate, making him a reliable mid‑range starter.
Eduardo Rodriguez’s lack of walks is encouraging, but his weak‑contact rate will be the key metric to watch against Milwaukee.
Trey Yesavage’s heavy reliance on splitters and sliders could pay off if he continues to generate strikeouts, though his fastball velocity remains a concern.
Ryan Johnson’s floor is still considered terrible, so he should be avoided in most formats until he shows improvement.
George Kirby’s refined secondary pitches make him a strong candidate for continued success, especially in favorable ballparks.
Shane Baz’s command issues against right‑handers could limit his upside, but his strikeout potential keeps him on the radar.
Shota Imanaga’s splitter effectiveness gives him a niche role, though his occasional hard hits could cap his ceiling.
Sean Manaea’s velocity dip may signal a longer‑term adjustment; monitoring his fastball speed will be essential.
Sean Burke’s eight strikeouts highlight his upside, especially if his four‑seamer continues to be effective.
Griffin Canning’s diminished movement makes him a risky start, suggesting a possible demotion from regular rotation.
Chris Paddack’s performance was heavily impacted by external factors; he is generally not recommended for upcoming lineups.
Ryan Weathers’ early exit underscores the need for better defense behind him; he may still have upside in deeper leagues.
Ranger Suarez’s quality start against a top offense reinforces his value as a left‑handed option in tough matchups.
Eric Lauer remains a 15‑team option for the Padres, but his high hit total suggests a need for caution.
Robert Gasser’s changeup feel is a question mark; he could improve with better pitch sequencing.
Parker Messick’s velocity trend is downward, yet his strikeout ability keeps him relevant in deeper formats.
Peter Lambert’s recent struggles make him a non‑recommended starter for most fantasy purposes.
Tyler Mahle’s middling arsenal needs tightening; he could become a viable option with better command.
Braxton Ashcraft’s home‑run issues are concerning, but his strikeout rate still offers fantasy upside.
Sandy Alcantara’s upcoming start against the Sacramento River Cats will be a litmus test for his recovery.
Gage Jump’s performance was poor, indicating a likely demotion unless he can improve command.
Sean Sullivan’s Coors Field experience may limit his future starts; he could be a matchup‑specific play.
Miles Mikolas’s early home‑run trouble was offset by a strong finish; he remains a viable back‑end starter.
Aaron Nola’s fifth‑inning collapse highlights the need for adjustment; he could rebound with better pitch selection.