Football

Projecting the 2026 Big 12 Starting Quarterbacks

Key Returners, Emerging Talents, and Uncertainties Shaping the Conference

Projecting the 2026 Big 12 Starting Quarterbacks

As the 2026 college football season approaches, analysts are turning their attention to the quarterbacks who will steer the Big 12’s offense. The conference boasts a mix of proven veterans and promising newcomers, each carrying distinct storylines that could shape the league’s landscape.

Arizona’s Noah Fifita emerges as a cornerstone after three years of starting experience, having posted career‑high passing yards and touchdowns in 2025. His blend of poise and production positions him as a leading candidate to open the season under center.

Meanwhile, Oklahoma State’s Drew Mestemaker has cemented his status as one of the conference’s most efficient signal‑callers, ranking among the top five in passing yards, touchdowns and overall efficiency last year. His return adds continuity to a Cowboys attack that aims to build on recent successes.

Texas Tech, however, faces a more uncertain picture. With eligibility concerns and injuries lingering, the Red Raiders are pinning hopes on Will Hammond, who is currently the presumptive starter but must prove he can stay healthy and consistent throughout the campaign.

Baylor’s DJ Lagway endured a challenging 2025 season, throwing a high number of interceptions, yet the coaching staff remains confident that his talent can translate into improvement, especially with a revamped supporting cast.

UCF brings a dynamic element in Alonza Barnett III, whose dual‑threat ability has yielded over 1,000 rushing yards and 22 touchdowns over the past two seasons, giving the Knights a versatile offensive weapon.

Utah’s Devon Dampier showed a marked rise in efficiency during 2025, cutting his interception rate while maintaining a strong passing output, suggesting a more polished performance heading into the new year.

West Virginia’s Michael Hawkins Jr. will battle for the starting role after transferring from Oklahoma, bringing a fresh perspective and a skill set that could revitalize the Mountaineers’ passing game.

Arizona State’s Cutter Boley, who previously navigated a mixed stint at Kentucky, is expected to bring a balanced mix of efficiency and arm strength, though turnover concerns remain a focal point.

BYU’s Bear Bachmeier experienced a setback against Texas Tech but demonstrated resilience with solid performances in other matchups, indicating that he could still be a reliable option for the Cougars.

Cincinnati’s JC French IV carries the weight of extensive starting experience, having appeared in every game for Georgia Southern over the last two seasons, which could translate into immediate stability for the Bearcats.

Colorado’s Julian Lewis, a five‑star recruit, faced protection issues throughout 2025, yet his raw talent and potential remain high, making him a player to watch as the Buffaloes aim to climb the conference rankings.

Houston’s Conner Weigman enjoyed a career‑year in 2025, unlocking new dimensions both as a passer and a runner, and his continued development could make the Cougars a surprise contender.

Iowa State’s Jaylen Raynor brings a wealth of starting experience, having logged 36 games for Arkansas State with a winning record, suggesting he is well‑prepared for the challenges of the Big 12.

Kansas is entering a full competition to replace Jalon Daniels, with Cole Ballard currently holding the inside track; the battle will likely shape the Jayhawks’ offensive identity.

Kansas State’s Avery Johnson, tied for the program’s career passing‑touchdown record, will embark on his senior season under a new head coach, adding an extra layer of intrigue to his performance.

TCU’s Jaden Craig, a clean‑cut quarterback from Harvard with impressive statistics and a winning record, rounds out a diverse group of signal‑callers poised to influence the conference’s direction.

Key Storylines and Outlook

Overall, the Big 12’s quarterback room for 2026 is marked by a blend of experience, upside, and uncertainty, setting the stage for a season that could redefine the conference’s competitive balance.

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