A new ranking model is taking hold in Kentucky high school soccer, promising a more objective measure of team strength.
The system, dubbed the Rundell Rankings, was developed by Michael Rundell and Joseph Thacker to replace the long‑standing Maher Rankings.
It adapts the Elo rating framework used in chess, assigning every team an initial score of 1300 and then adjusting those scores based on match outcomes, opponent strength and goal differentials.
Unlike the state‑run RPI, which penalizes teams for playing outside Kentucky, the Rundell Rankings ignore out‑of‑state results, allowing squads to schedule tough interstate fixtures without fear of a rating hit.
Northern Kentucky’s Rise
The latest release shows a clear Northern Kentucky presence, with five programs cracking the top 30, including Covington Catholic at No. 14, Dixie Heights at No. 16, Highlands at No. 23, Ryle at No. 24 and St. Henry at No. 29.
Covington Catholic, the defending 9th Region champions, opened region play with a 0‑0‑2 record against powerhouses such as No. 2 Trinity and No. 7 South Oldham, setting the stage for a competitive stretch.
On the girls side, Notre Dame has surged to the top of the rankings, defeating No. 1 Sacred Heart and No. 11 South Oldham while also confronting No. 2 Central Hardin, No. 8 Bishop Brossart and No. 6 Highlands.
The model rewards wins over higher‑rated opponents and punishes unexpected upsets, meaning a surprise victory can produce a sharp rating jump, while losses to lower‑rated teams can cause a dip.
As the season progresses, the Rundell Rankings will continue to be updated, offering coaches, players and fans a data‑rich lens through which to view Kentucky soccer’s evolving landscape.