ADP Landscape in Flux
The average draft position of NFL running backs has been in constant flux since the start of July, as teams adjust rosters and players negotiate new deals. Fantasy analysts track these shifts closely because a single move can alter a back’s perceived value by double‑digit spots.
Alvin Kamara’s ADP has climbed nearly twelve places, a direct result of the New Orleans Saints’ decision to restructure his contract. The move signals the club’s intent to keep the Pro Bowl rusher in the fold and has fantasy managers taking notice.
In Green Bay, MarShawn Lloyd is being positioned as the RB2 behind a backfield that could be unsettled by Josh Jacobs’ ongoing legal battles. Lloyd’s health and the prospect of a larger workload have pushed his ranking upward.
Meanwhile, Jaydon Blue’s training‑camp performance has caught the eye of the Dallas Cowboys’ coaching staff, and early indications suggest he could carve out a meaningful role in the 2026 backfield. Jordan Mason, likewise, has seen his ADP rise by more than nine spots, with reports indicating he may become the primary ball‑carrier for the Minnesota Vikings next season.
Brandon Aiyuk’s stock has slipped as his future with the San Francisco 49ers remains uncertain. The receiver’s public stance of not returning to the team has translated into a lower ADP, reflecting concerns about his fantasy relevance.
Other backs are moving in the opposite direction. Nicholas Singleton’s ADP has been sliding as the Tennessee Titans’ new head coach favors veteran options, while Eli Stowers’ prospects with the Philadelphia Eagles appear limited, leading to a dip in his ranking. Sean Tucker’s modest rise is tempered by a crowded backfield that includes Bucky Irving and Kenny Gainwell.
These ADP adjustments illustrate how contract negotiations, health updates and coaching philosophies can quickly reshape fantasy expectations. Managers who stay abreast of these developments may gain a decisive edge as draft day approaches.